Events that moved markets

All predicted weeks before they hit the news

Red Sea Shipping Crisis

82%
probability
0days early

Impact: Shipping costs tripled overnight

US-China Tariff Increase

78%
probability
0days early

Impact: Consumer goods prices spiked 15%

West Coast Port Congestion

91%
probability
0days early

Impact: Delivery delays up to 3 weeks

Fed Rate Decision

94%
probability
0days early

Impact: Consumer spending patterns shifted

Every one of these events cost merchants who didn't see them coming.

The Hidden Cost

$0.0B

lost by e-commerce merchants to supply chain surprises in 2024

They waited for the news.

The news is a post-mortem.

Reactive Pricing

Margins collapse when costs spike unexpectedly. By the time you adjust, customers are gone.

Blind Inventory

Over-ordered for demand that never came. Under-stocked when it did. Always a step behind.

Crisis Mode

Every global event is a fire drill. Scrambling to find alternatives while competitors adapt.

There's a better way

Introducing

The Informed Merchant

Stop trading on hope. Start trading on truth.

Before

The Reactive Merchant

  • Learns about crises from headlines
  • Adjusts prices after margins are hit
  • Orders inventory based on gut feeling
  • Scrambles when supply chains break
  • Always playing catch-up
Result

Lost margins. Lost customers. Lost sleep.

After Predictify

The Informed Merchant

  • Sees risks 42 days before they hit
  • Adjusts pricing before costs change
  • Orders inventory based on real signals
  • Reroutes shipments before disruptions
  • Always one step ahead
Result

Protected margins. Loyal customers. Peaceful nights.

Wall Street has traded on prediction markets for years.
Now Main Street can too.

Real Merchant Story

Meet Sarah

Owner of a sustainable textiles shop on Shopify. This is her story from 2024.

October 3, 2024

Signal Detected

Polymarket shows 82% probability of Red Sea shipping disruption. Predictify alerts Sarah instantly.

October 5, 2024

Action Taken

Sarah pre-orders 3 months of silk inventory from an alternate supplier. Locks in current pricing with one click.

November 19, 2024

Crisis Hits

Red Sea attacks begin. Shipping costs triple overnight.CNN reports the story. Sarah's competitors panic.

Result

Protected

Sarah had inventory when others didn't. While competitors raised prices 40%, she kept hers stable and captured market share.

Sarah's Predictify Advantage
$0In Losses Prevented
+23%Q4 Revenue Growth
0Missed Orders

“I knew about the crisis 47 days before my competitors. That's not luck. That's Predictify.”

— Sarah, Sustainable Textiles Shop Owner

See It In Action

Your Daily Intelligence Briefing

Every morning, Predictify analyzes global markets and delivers actionable insights in 60 seconds.

Morning Briefing

ElevenLabs Voice AI

00:42

“Good morning. Suez risk is at 78%. I suggest rerouting your September silk shipment to air-freight. Cost increase: $2,400. Potential savings if disruption occurs: $18,000. Shall I execute?”

Risk HeatmapLive
Low RiskHigh Risk
Scenarios Analyzed

1,000+

Black Swan Events

47

SimGym: Stress-Test Your Store

We run 1,000 black-swan scenarios on your store. If shipping delays hit 30 days, we auto-adjust your delivery estimates and pricing to protect margins.

Auto-AdjustDelivery
ProtectMargins
DynamicPricing
Technical Deep Dive

How It Works

Click to explore the technology powering Predictify

Predictify transforms how merchants operate by connecting real-time prediction market signals directly to actionable commerce decisions.

AI Actions
    Auto-generate campaign copy from market trends
    Dynamic pricing based on supply signals
    Smart inventory re-ordering suggestions
Commerce Intel
    World events → demand predictions
    Supply chain risk monitoring
    One-click action implementation
Small merchants gain Wall Street-level insights without the complexity

We implement the Amplitude-style analytics loop: tracking user behavior, feeding it to AI, and adapting the product experience in real-time.

Event Schema
market_risk_viewed→ Track which risks merchants explore
action_applied→ Log when AI suggestions are used
suggestion_dismissed→ Learn from rejected recommendations
hedge_executed→ Track financial actions taken
BehaviorAnalyticsAIAdapt
AI reorders suggestions based on past behavior — not just rules

Complex commerce decisions require multiple specialized perspectives. Our multi-agent system orchestrates 4 AI agents with clear state handoffs.

1

Signal Analyst Agent

Interprets prediction market data and extracts commerce-relevant implications

Input: Raw market dataOutput: Risk signals
2

Merchant Strategist Agent

Translates signals into specific small-business commerce actions

Input: Risk signalsOutput: Action proposals
3

Feasibility Agent

Validates actions against constraints: budget, seasonality, brand fit

Input: Actions + constraintsOutput: Validated plan
4

Creative Agent

Produces final copy, campaign assets, and implementation steps

Input: Validated planOutput: Ready to deploy
Full communication log available for agent decision transparency

When Predictify sees risk, you can lock in protection on Solana. Our integration uses Solana Pay for instant, low-cost hedge transactions.

How Solana Hedging Works
1

Predictify detects high-probability risk (e.g., shipping delays at 78%)

2

Click “Hedge” to generate a Solana Pay QR code

3

Scan with Phantom/Solflare wallet to deposit USDC

4

If risk materializes, hedge pays out automatically via smart contract

Sub-secondExecution
TransparentOn-chain
Zero-trustVerification
USDC payments via Solana Pay — no complex DeFi knowledge required

Built with Gemini for AI reasoning • ElevenLabs for voice briefings • Polymarket for prediction data